780 
abpw10 pgtw 020600
msgid/genadmin/navmarfcstcen Pearl Harbor hi/jtwc//
subj/significant tropical weather advisory for the western
and/South Pacific oceans/020600z-030600zdec2008//
rmks/
1. Western North Pacific area (180 to Malay Peninsula):
   a. Tropical cyclone summary: none.
   B. Tropical disturbance summary:
      (1) the area of convection previously located near 7.1n
112.2e, is now located near 7.6n 112.6e, approximately 210 nm
northwest of brunei, and has intensified over the past 24 hours.
Recent animated multispectral imagery and a 012357z ssmis pass
indicate a cyclonic circulation with convective banding wrapping
into the center. Upper level analysis indicates the area is south
of the subtropical ridge axis and southeast of a midlatitude
short-wave trough that are enhancing poleward outflow albeit with
moderate vertical wind shear. Synoptic 24-hour observation trends
from truong sa, approximately 75 nm to the north-northwest,
indicate a 24-hour slp decrease of -1.2 mb. Maximum sustained
surface winds are estimated at 15-22 knots and the minimum sea
level pressure at 1005 mb. Based on a more symmetric and a rapidly
consolidating center with improved convective banding, the
potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone
within the next 24 hours is good.
      (2) no other suspect areas.
2. South Pacific area (west coast of South America to 135 east):
   a. Tropical cyclone summary: none.
   B. Tropical disturbance summary: none.
Forecast team: Delta//

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